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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds - 8/6/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (49-63) at New York Mets (45-64)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 6, 2018 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

H Bailey (1-8) (5.87) vs. N Syndergaard (6-2) (2.98)

The Line: New York Mets -170 / Cincinnati Reds +160 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: SNY, FSOH

The Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action at Citi Field.

The Cincinnati Reds could use a win here after losing five of their last six games. The Reds have allowed nine runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost five straight games when allowing more than one run. Offensively, Scooter Gennett leads the Reds with 126 hits and 67 RBI while Jose Peraza and Joey Votto have combined for 234 hits and 90 RBI. Homer Bailey gets the ball, and he is 1-8 with a 5.87 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Bailey is 1-5 with a 7.22 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

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New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds - 8/6/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets also need a win here after losing seven of their last nine games. The Mets have allowed seven runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. The New York Mets have lost seven straight games when allowing at least one run. Offensively, Amed Rosario leads the Mets with 80 hits and 28 RBI while Michael Conforto and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 155 hits and 71 RBI. Noah Syndergaard gets the ball, and he is 6-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Syndergaard is 3-0 with a 1.98 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.

The Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 1-5 in Baileys last 6 road starts and 15-36 in Baileys last 51 starts. The Mets are 5-14 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series, 3-11 in their last 14 vs. National League Central and 6-2 in Syndergaards last 8 home starts. The Reds are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in New York, 7-24 in the last 31 meetings and 0-4 in Baileys last 4 starts vs. Mets.

In 14 starts this season, the Reds have won just once with Bailey on the mound. Bailey has an ERA over five both on the road and at home this season, and he's allowing a .287 batting average overall. Syndergaard has allowed no more than three runs in each of his last 14 starts, and while he's allowing more hits than usual, he gives the Mets a chance to win every time he's on the hill. While laying big prices with the Mets isn't a good idea this season, there's a massive edge in pitching for the home team here. I'll back the Mets.

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