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Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 8/16/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (54-65) at Kansas City Royals (36-83)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 16, 2018 at 8:15 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

Sam Gaviglio (2-5) (4.86) vs. Glenn Sparkman (0-1) (5.06)

The Line: Kansas City Royals +120 / Toronto Blue Jays -141 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: RSN, FS-Kansas City

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Kansas City Royals meet in the finale of their four game set from Kauffman Stadium in MLB action on Thursday.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to win the series after riding a 5-run 4th inning to a second straight 6-5 win over the Royals in game three on Wednesday. Curtis Grandson led the Jays by going 2 for 4 with a home run and four RBIs while Kevin Pillar added two RBIs to cap off Toronto’s scoring in the win. Teoscar Hernandez went 2 for 5 with a double while Richard Urena added a double of his own. Randal Grichuk, Russell Martin and Aledmys Diaz each had a base knock to round out Toronto’s offense in the winning effort. Marco Estrada got the win to improve to 6-9 this season after allowing four runs on six hits while striking out three over 6.2 innings of work. Ken Giles closed out the 9th for his 15th save of the season. Sam Gaviglio will start the finale and is 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Gaviglio’s first career start against Kansas City.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 8/16/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will look to salvage a series split with Toronto after dropping game three on Wednesday. Salvador Perez led the Royals by going 3 for 4 with a pair of home runs and three RBIs while Ryan O’Hearn added a pinch-hit solo home run and Alcides Escobar added an RBI of his own to round out the scoring for the Royals in the loss. Brett Phillips added a triple while Whit Merrifield added a base hit of his own to cap off KC’s offense in the losing effort. Jorge Lopez took the loss to fall to 0-1 this season after allowing all six runs on eight hits over 4.2 innings of work. Glenn Sparkman will start game four and is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Sparkman’s first career start against Toronto.

Toronto is 0-4 in Gaviglio’s last 4 starts and 4-11 in their last 15 Thursday games while the over is 6-2 in Gaviglio’s last 8 road starts. Kansas City is 6-20 in their last 26 games against the AL East and 15-46 in their last 61 games overall while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Gaviglio hasn’t been very good as of late, as Toronto has lost his last four starts and six of his last seven. On the other hand, there’s simply no backing Kansas City as the Royals are the same Royals that they’ve been all season long. Instead, I’m not going to try to figure out which pitcher will stink less, so I’ll side with the over. The offenses are still showing that they’re capable of putting some runs on the board so I think we end the series with an offensive bang on Thursday.

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