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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres - 9/6/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres (55-86) at Cincinnati Reds (59-81)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Eric Lauer (5-7) (5.01) vs. Luis Castillo (8-11) (4.83)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -160 / San Diego Padres +150 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSD, FSOH

The San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park.

The San Diego Padres look for a victory here after splitting their last 10 games. The Padres have scored nine runs in their last three games and three or less runs in 10 of their last 15 games. The San Diego Padres have lost eight of their last 10 games when scoring three or less runs. Eric Hosmer leads the Padres with 134 hits and 56 RBI while Freddy Galvis and Manuel Margot have combined for 226 hits and 101 RBI. Eric Lauer gets the ball, and he is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. This will be Lauer’s second career game against the Reds.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres - 9/6/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds also need a win after losing six of their last eight games. The Reds have scored six runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last 11 games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost nine straight games when scoring three or less runs. Scooter Gennett leads the Reds with 166 hits and 84 RBI while Jose Peraza and Eugenio Suarez have combined for 288 hits and 146 RBI. Luis Castillo gets the ball, and he is 8-11 with a 4.83 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. Castillo is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA and seven strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day, 2-7 in Lauers last 9 road starts and 5-11 in Lauers last 16 starts. The Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games and 5-1 in Castillos last 6 home starts. The Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati and the over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Both of these teams have had trouble scoring runs overall this season, but the over has gone over seven straight times when the Padres and Reds have met. Lauer has an allowed batting average of nearly .300 on the season and Castillo has given up five runs each in two of his last four starts. Instead of trying to figure out which better version of these teams will show up, I'll just side with the over and be done with it. 

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