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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 9/19/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (83-67) at Houston Astros (94-56)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, September 19, 2018 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

M Festa (0-0) (1.69) vs. D Keuchel (11-10) (3.62)

The Line: Houston Astros -210 / Seattle Mariners +185 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ATSW, RTNW

The Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros will be wrapping up their MLB series from Minute Maid Park on Wednesday. 

The Mariners took the Monday opener of this series 4-1, then on Tuesday Houston struck back with a strong 7-0 win. 

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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 9/19/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

For Wednesday’s game, the Mariners will be going with Matt Festa as the "opener" in a bullpen day. Festa has a 1.69 ERA across 5.1 innings this year, and this will be his first big-league start. 

Leading the offense for the Mariners this year is Jean Segura, with 167 hits, 84 runs and 60 RBI entering game two. On Tuesday, Segura came up empty. 

Over on the Astros’ side, they’re sending out Dallas Keuchel on Wednesday. Over 191.2 innings and a 11-10 record this year, Keuchel has a 3.57 ERA with 143 Ks and 52 BBs. 

The Astros’ Alex Bregman is the top hitter on the team, taking 163 hits, 101 runs, 30 homers and 100 RBI with him into Tuesday. In game two, Bregman went hitless. 

The Mariners are 4-0 in their last four in game three of a series and 2-5 in their last seven Wednesday games. The over is 11-4 in Seattle’s last 15 Wednesday games and the under is 7-3 in their last 10 versus a left-handed starter. 

Meanwhile, the Astros are 8-1 in their last nine in game three of a series and 23-9 in Keuchel’s last 32 starts with four days’ rest. Houston is 1-4 in Keuchel’s last five starts versus a team with a winning record and the over is 6-0 in their last six Wednesday games. 

Aside from a couple of stumbles, Keuchel has been pretty effective over his last nine starts. During that time, he’s got two starts where he allowed five earned runs, but otherwise has all quality outings and a 3-1 record. I’m going with Keuchel to play well here and help get the Astros a victory.

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