Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees - 10/3/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oakland Athletics (97-65) at New York Yankees (100-62)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, October 3, 2018 at 8:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)
L Hendriks (0-1) (4.12) vs. L Severino (19-8) (3.39)
The Line: New York Yankees -185 / Oakland Athletics +165 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The Oakland A’s and the New York Yankees meet in the AL Wild Card game from Yankee Stadium on Wednesday night.
The Oakland A’s come into this matchup as the second wild card after finishing the regular season with a 97-65 record after going 63-29 in their last 92 games with a +139 run differential on the year. Khris Davis leads the A’s by hitting 48 home runs with a team-high 123 RBIs, hitting .247 for the 4th straight season. Marcus Semien leads Oakland with 161 hits while Matt Chapman has a team-high 42 doubles and 6 triples this season while hitting a team-high .278 batting average and .508 slugging percentage. Liam Hendriks will be making the start for the A’s in what will likely be a bullpen game for the A’s, and is 0-1 with a 4.12 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hendriks is 2-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Yankees.
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The New York Yankees clinched home field in the wild card round by virtue of their 100-62 record, finishing the year with a +182 run differential. Giancarlo Stanton, in his first season as a Yankee, led New York with 38 home runs and 100 RBIs. Brett Gardner led the Yanks with 7 triples while Miguel Andujar had a team-high 170 hits, 47 doubles and a .297 batting average with a .527 slugging percentage this season. Luis Severino will be making the start in the wild card game and had a record of 19-8 with a 3.39 ERA and 220 strikeouts this season. In his career, Severino is 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Oakland.
Oakland is 63-29 in their last 92 games overall and 9-4 in their last 13 games against the AL East while the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 road games. New York is 22-4 in Severino’s last 26 home starts and 72-31 in their last 103 home games while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. Oakland is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams but just 1-4 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in New York.
The plus money is tempting considering how well Oakland has played in the 2nd half of the season, but the A’s also haven’t had much luck at Yankee Stadium, losing 4 of their last 5 games in the Bronx. With that said, I’m not laying this kind of juice with Severino, as the Yankees’ ace has a tendency to have a blowup start here and there, as seen in his last start against Oakland where he was touched up for six runs, five earned, in just 2.2 innings. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. These wild card games can tend to be low-scoring with so much on the line, but with two offenses that can really light up the scoreboard, I wouldn’t be surprised to see double digits in a back and forth game.