Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves - NLDS Game One - 10/4/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Braves (90-72) at Los Angeles Dodgers (92-71)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, October 4, 2018 at 8:37 pm (Dodger Stadium)
M Foltynewicz (13-10) (2.89) vs. H Ryu (7-3) (1.97)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -170 / Atlanta Braves +155 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet in game one of the NLDS from Dodger Stadium in MLB action on Thursday.
The Atlanta Braves booked their spot in the postseason thanks to a 90-72 record, finishing 8 games clear of 2nd place, winning their first NL East crown since 2013. Freddie Freeman led the Braves with a .309 batting average, along with team-highs of 98 RBIs, 44 doubles and 191 hits. Ronald Acuna Jr. led the Braves with 26 home runs and Ozzie Albies went yard 24 times with 5 triples and 40 doubles. Ender Inciarte led the Braves with 6 triples this season while Nick Markakis has 43 doubles and 93 RBIs. Mike Foltynewicz will be handed the ball for the series opener and was 13-10 with a 2.85 ERA and 202 strikeouts this season. In his career, Foltynewicz is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Dodgers.
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The Los Angeles Dodgers needed game 163 but punched their ticket to the playoffs as the NL West champion for the sixth straight season with a 92-71 record this season. Max Muncy led the Dodgers with 35 home runs this season while Matt Kemp had a .290 batting average and a team-high 85 RBIs. Chris Taylor led the Dodgers with 35 doubles and 8 triples and Cody Bellinger chipped in 25 homers and 76 RBIs. Hyun-Jin Ryu will take to the mound for game one and finished the regular season with a 7-3 record along with a 1.97 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ryu is 0-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 4-1 in Foltynewicz’s last 5 road starts and 5-0 in their last 5 games against the NL West while the over is 13-3 in their last 16 playoff games. Los Angeles is 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 home starts and 6-2 in their last 8 playoff home games while the over is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Los Angeles.
Ryu has pitched well since coming off of the DL giving up more than two runs just twice in those nine starts. However, just one of those starts came against a team with a winning record let alone in a playoff position. Yes, the Braves are young and the Dodgers have a huge experience advantage in the postseason department, but Foltynewicz gives the Braves a chance to win every time he takes the mound and has a better ERA on the road (2.48) than at home (3.19) and has allowed more than two earned just twice in his last 11 starts. I’ll take a shot with Atlanta to draw first blood on Thursday.