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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees - 10/9/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boston Red Sox (109-55) at New York Yankees (102-63)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 9, 2018 at 8:07 pm (Yankee Stadium)

R Porcello (17-7) (4.27) vs. C Sabathia (9-7) (3.65)

The Line: New York Yankees -133 / Boston Red Sox +123 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees will be matching up for Game 4 of their American League Division Series on Tuesday from Yankee Stadium. 

Boston leads this series two games to one. The Red Sox eked out a 5-4 win in Game 1, then fell 6-2 in Game 2 before blowing out New York at Yankee Stadium on Monday 16-1. 

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees - 10/9/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

For Game 4, the Red Sox will be bringing out RHP Rick Porcello. In his 191.1 innings and 17-7 mark this year, Porcello posted a 4.28 ERA with 190 Ks. 

Heading into Game 3, Boston’s top postseason hitter was JD Martinez, with three hits, a homer and three RBI. On Monday, Martinez posted a hit and two RBI. 

Over on the Yankees’ side, they’re going with CC Sabathia on Tuesday. Across 153.0 innings and a 9-7 record this year, Sabathia put up a 3.65 ERA with 140 Ks. 

Aaron Judge was the Yankees’ big postseason hitter coming into Game 3, toting seven hits, five runs, three homers and four RBI. In the Monday game, Judge had one hit. 

The Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 in game four of a series and 40-15 in their last 55 Tuesday games. Boston is also 1-4 in their last five playoff road games and 5-1 in Porcello’s last six starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yanks are 7-1 in their last eight playoff home games and 18-8 in their last 26 versus the AL East. New York is 37-18 in their last 55 Tuesday games and 5-3 in their last eight overall. 

Porcello had a great regular season with those 17 wins, but it’s worth noting that he’s winless with a 7.56 ERA in his first pair of postseason campaigns with the Sox. As for Sabathia, the Yankees are relying on him to help stave off elimination, and they really, really need a strong outing from their starter here. 

All the pressure has shifted to New York in this game, and they need all their pieces to fit together in order to force a decisive Game 5 in Boston. I think the proverbial wind has died out of the Yankees’ limp sails, so I’m going with the Sox to close it out here.

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