Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers - 10/19/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers (98-74) at Milwaukee Brewers (101-70)
MLB Baseball: Friday, October 19, 2018 at 8:39 pm (Miller Park)
H Ryu (8-3) (2.21) vs. W Miley (5-2) (2.27)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +110 / Los Angeles Dodgers -120 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in game six of the NLCS at Miller Park.
The Los Angeles Dodgers can make it back-to-back World Series appearances with a victory here. The Dodgers pitching staff continues to hold up, allowing three runs in their last 22 innings and three or less runs in six of their nine postseason games. The one worry for the Dodgers is the offense and hitting with runners in scoring position, as this team has been a tough watch at times. The Los Angeles Dodgers have still won 16 straight games when allowing three or less runs. Justin Turner leads the Dodgers with 10 hits and four RBI while Manny Machado and Joc Pederson have combined for 16 hits and 10 RBI. Hyun-Jin Ryu gets the ball, and he is 7-3 with a 1.97 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. This will be Ryu’s second career game against the Brewers. Ryu is 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
The Milwaukee Brewers need a victory here to save their season and force a game seven on Saturday. The Brewers pitching staff has an ERA of 2.02 in eight postseason games, so this team is always in games regardless of what the offense does. The issue is the Brewers have been held to three or less runs in three of their last four games and is batting just .238 these playoffs. The Milwaukee Brewers have to wake up offensively if their season will be saved. Ryan Braun leads the Brewers with 10 hits and three RBI while Orlando Arcia and Lorenzo Cain have combined for 15 hits and five RBI. Wade Miley gets the ball, and he is 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Miley is 4-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 66 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers. Miley is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games, 35-16 in their last 51 games following an off day and 5-0 in Ryus last 5 starts. The Brewers are 8-0 in their last 8 games following an off day, 7-3 in their last 10 playoff home games and 8-2 in Mileys last 10 starts. The Dodgers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Mileys last 7 home starts and the under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 road starts.
Neither of these teams are doing much offensively, and with Ryu allowing a combined three runs in his last five starts and Miley not allowing a run in his last 10.1 innings, you can expect another tight, close game. The bottom line is the Brewers and the plus money at home is where the value is at, as Miley gave the Dodgers fits in game two and the rest of the Brewers bullpen has shined most at home. Also, while Ryu has an ERA of 1.15 ERA and an allowed batting average of .212 at home, those numbers spike up to 3.58 and .240 on the road this season. I like the value of the plus money with the Brewers here. Expect a game seven between these two clubs.