2019-09-01 18:05:00 EDT
The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in the finale of their three game NL East division set in this week’s edition of Sunday Night Baseball from Citizens Bank Park on Sunday night.
The New York Mets will look to complete the sweep after taking game two on Saturday by a final score of 6-3. Todd Frazier and Joe Panik each had a double and two RBIs with Frazier going 3 for 4 at the dish. Wilson Ramos and Michael Conforto each had a double and an RBI as well to cap off New York’s scoring as a team in the win with Ramos going 4 for 5 at the dish while Conforto had a pair of hits. Amed Rosario went 2 for 5 while Steven Matz added a base hit to finish off New York’s offense in the victory. Matz got the win to improve to 9-8 on the year after allowing three runs, two earned, on seven hits while striking out six over five innings of work. Seth Lugo closed out the final two innings for his 4th save of the year. Marcus Stroman will start game three and is 7-12 with a 3.29 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. This will be Stroman’s second career start against Philadelphia.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after their loss on Saturday. Bryce Harper went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Andrew Knapp added an RBI to round out Philly’s scoring as a team in the loss. Jean Segura went 2 for 5 with a triple and a double and Scott Kingery and Cesar Hernandez each went 2 for 4 at the dish while Corey Dickerson added a base hit to sum up Philadelphia’s offense in the losing effort. Jason Vargas took the loss, falling to 6-7 on the year after allowing five runs on nine hits while walking three over four innings of work. Zach Eflin will start the finale and is 8-11 with a 4.50 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 3-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 41 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 19-9-5 in their last 33 division games. Philadelphia is 1-11 in Eflin’s last 12 starts against a team with a winning record, 1-4 in Eflin’s last 5 home starts, 1-6 in Eflin’s last 6 starts overall and 2-6 in their last 8 division games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 division games. New York is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 2-6 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.
The Phillies as a home dog is tempting, but I think the fact that New York is favored on the road says quite a few things. Eflin has been terrible in the second half of the season, sporting an ERA over seven. Eflin’s ERA is also higher at home than on the road, and he’s allowed nine runs in nine innings against the Mets in two starts this season. Stroman’s had his ups and downs since being traded to the Mets, but New York’s been the better team in the first two games of the series and I haven’t seen anything to convince me that a third straight win wouldn’t be on the cards for New York, so I’ll lay the reasonable price with New York for the sweep.