Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins – 9/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

2019-09-03 18:10:00 EDT

The Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox will kick off their MLB series on Tuesday.

The Twins are coming out of a series versus the Tigers. Minnesota fell on Saturday in that matchup but took the Friday and Sunday games. On Monday, the Twins posted a big 4-3 comeback win.

For the Tuesday opener, Minnesota will go with Randy Dobnak in the start. This will be Dobnak’s first career start, filling in for Jose Berrios (he was pushed back a day).

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Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Angels over the weekend. Boston dropped the Saturday game but ended up taking the series with wins 7-6 Friday and 4-3 Sunday.

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In Tuesday’s game, the Red Sox will send out Rick Porcello in the starting role. Over his 149.1 innings and 12-10 record this season, Porcello has a 5.42 ERA with 117 Ks and 42 BBs.

The Twins are 10-3 in their last 13 in game one of a series and 17-8 in their last 25 versus the AL East. The over is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last seven versus the AL East and 5-1-1 in their last seven in game one of a series.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 4-1 in their last five in game one of a series and 4-1 in their last five overall. Boston is 7-3 in Porcello’s last 10 Starts and 14-3 in his last 17 Tuesday starts.

Porcello had a tough outing against the Angels last month, but in his three starts since then he’s leveled out pretty well. In that span, Porcello has put up six earned runs combined over 16.0 innings on 15 hits total and is 2-1 record-wise.

I like Porcello to have a nice outing here, and I’m leaning toward the Sox.

Andrew Jett's Free Pick:
Boston Red Sox TBA
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Andrew Jett

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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