Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays – 9/6/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

2019-09-06 18:10:00 EDT

The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays meet Friday in MLB action at Tropicana Field.

The Toronto Blue Jays need a win after losing 10 of their last 13 games. The Blue Jays have scored nine runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have lost four of their last six games when scoring four or more runs. Randal Grichuk leads the Blue Jays with 117 hits and 62 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Brandon Drury have combined for 192 hits and 100 RBI. Clay Buchholz gets the ball, and he is 1-3 with a 5.45 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Buchholz is 9-8 with a 2.62 ERA and 139 strikeouts in his career against the Rays.

The Tampa Bay Rays look to stay hot after winning seven of their last eight games. The Rays have scored 10 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. The Tampa Bay Rays have won nine of their last 10 games when scoring four or more runs. Tommy Pham leads the Rays with 138 hits and 61 RBI while Austin Meadows and Avisail Garcia have combined for 245 hits and 134 RBI. Brendan McKay gets the ball, and he is 2-3 with a 5.55 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be McKay’s second career game against the Blue Jays.

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The Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series, 2-5 in their last 7 games on astroturf and 1-4 in Buchholz’s last 5 starts. The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games, 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games and 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. The Blue Jays are 36-75 in the last 111 meetings in Tampa Bay and 4-10 in the last 14 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Rays last 10 home games. The under is 3-1-1 in Buchholz’s last 5 starts overall.

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Buchholz has pitched just 11.2 innings since May, and he’s allowing a .279 batting average and .809 OPS on the season. McKay has allowed 21 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 16.1 innings, and he has a 6.33 ERA and .289 allowed batting average at home. Regardless of what you think of the pitching matchup, the Tampa Bay Rays are in one of those zones again where they pile up the wins and they need to keep it up to improve their chances of hosting the wild card game. The Toronto Blue Jays are a young club that finds ways to lose games more often than not, and Buchholz is a pitcher we’ve made a lot of money blinding fading over the years. Give me the Rays.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Tampa Bay Rays
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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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