MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – 9/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2019-09-12 18:05:00 EDT

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Baltimore Orioles meet in the rubber match of their three game interleague set in MLB action from Camden Yards on Thursday.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to bounce back and win the series after dropping game two on Wednesday by a 7-3 score line. A.J. Pollock went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Matt Beaty added an RBI to make up the Dodgers’ scoring as a team in the loss. Austin Barnes had a double while David Freese and Enrique Hernandez each had a base hit to cap off L.A.’s offense as the Dodgers cranked out just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Ross Stripling allowed one run on three hits in the start which lasted three innings, not factoring in the decision, while Caleb Ferguson took the loss, falling to 1-2. Rich Hill will start game three and is 4-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hill is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece following their game two victory on Wednesday. Jonathan Villar had a home run and three RBIs while Pedro Severino added a home run and two RBIs. Dwight Smith Jr. went 2 for 4 with a double and two RBIs to cap off Baltimore’s scoring as a team in the win. Austin Hays went 3 for 4 with a double while Trey Mancini added a two-bagger as well and Hanser Alberto chipped in a base hit to finish off the Orioles’ offense in victory. John Means gave up two runs on four hits while striking out six over 6.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Shawn Armstrong picked up the win in relief to improve to 1-1 on the year. Dylan Bundy will start game three and is 6-13 with a 5.06 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. This will be Bundy’s first career start against the Dodgers.

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Los Angeles is 7-2 in their last 9 games against the AL East and 55-24 in their last 79 game three matchups while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games. Baltimore is 2-8 in their last 10 games against the NL West and 18-43 in Bundy’s last 61 starts while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a left-handed starter.

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The plus money is tempting with Baltimore, but I’m not trying to get behind the Baltimore Orioles on a regular basis, even if we cashed with them as underdogs on Wednesday. Bundy’s ERA is higher at home this season and he’s been statistically worse in the 2nd half so far this season. On the other hand, even as good as the Dodgers are, I’m not trying to lay this kind of juice with Hill, who hasn’t pitched in almost three months at the major league level. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. I expect Hill to have some rust, and even on a pitch count, I think the O’s can scratch a few off of the Dodger bullpen while I also expect the Dodgers to get to Bundy quite a bit as well.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:
Over 10
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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and since then he's worked tirelessly to pick out winners across a wide range of sports from NBA,NHL,MLB and NFL and even into the college ranks of football and basketball as well. Chris has carried over his drive and determination from playing sports at a young age to crushing the competition on a daily basis here at Sports Chat Place!

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