Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves – 9/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

2019-09-12 18:05:00 EDT

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in the finale of their four game NL East division set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Thursday.

The Atlanta Braves will look to win the series after taking game three of the set by a final score of 3-1. Tyler Flowers had a home run and all three Atlanta RBIs while Ozzie Albies went 2 for 5 at the dish and Austin Riley added a double. Dallas Keuchel, Matt Joyce and Freddie Freeman each had a base hit to cap off Atlanta’s offense as a team in the win. Dallas Keuchel got the win to improve to 8-5 on the year after allowing one run on three hits while walking three and striking out eight over six innings of work. Mark Melancon closed out the 9th for his 11th save of the season. Julio Teheran will start game four and is 10-8 with a 3.31 ERA and 154 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 9-7 with a 3.71 ERA and 122 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to bounce back and earn a series split with the Braves after losing game three on Wednesday. Scott Kingery had the lone RBI for the Phillies while Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, Adam Haseley, Cesar Hernandez and Phil Gosselin each had a base knock as none of Philly’s five hits went for extra bases in the losing effort. Zach Eflin took the loss, falling to 8-12 on the year after allowing three unearned runs on three hits while walking three and striking out five over 3.2 innings of work. Drew Smyly will start game four and is 4-6 with a 6.20 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. In his career, Smyly is

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Atlanta is 4-1 in Teheran’s last 5 road starts and 16-7 in Teheran’s last 23 starts overall while the over is 5-1-1 in their last game four matchups. Philadelphia is 5-1 in Smyly’s last 6 starts and 4-0 in Smyly’s last 4 starts against a team with a winning record while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games overall. Atlanta is 5-2 in Teheran’s last 7 starts against Philadelphia.

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Philadelphia and the plus money is kind of tempting given that the Phillies need to keep winning games to keep pace in the wild card hunt, and that the Phillies have won seven of Smyly’s nine starts since joining the team. However, I just don’t trust Smyly in a starting role and his last three starts at home have seen Smyly allow 14 runs in 15.2 innings of work. Teheran’s had his ups and downs, but he’s allowed two earned runs or less in 11 of his last 13 starts. I just like the way Atlanta is playing right now and Atlanta is so close to wrapping up the division, so I’ll lay the juice with Atlanta to win the series on Friday. 

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:
Atlanta -136
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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and since then he's worked tirelessly to pick out winners across a wide range of sports from NBA,NHL,MLB and NFL and even into the college ranks of football and basketball as well. Chris has carried over his drive and determination from playing sports at a young age to crushing the competition on a daily basis here at Sports Chat Place!

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