2019-09-14 18:15:00 EDT
The Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals meet in game two of their three game NL Central division set from Busch Stadium on Saturday.
The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back after having their seven game winning streak snapped with a thud following a 10-0 loss in the series opener on Friday. Trent Grisham and Orlando Arcia each had a base hit as the Brew Crew cranked out just two hits as a team in the losing effort with the rest of the Brewers batting 0 for 24 with 8 strikeouts in the loss. Adrian Houser took the loss, falling to 6-6 on the year after allowing four runs on four hits while striking out five over three innings of work. Jordan Lyles will start game two and is 10-8 with a 4.38 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lyles is 2-4 with a 4.89 ERA and 38 strikeouts against St. Louis.
The St. Louis Cardinals will try to take one step closer to the division title after their win in game one on Friday. Paul Goldschmidt had a pair of home runs and seven RBIs while Kolten Wong went 3 for 4 with two RBIs and Matt Carpenter added an RBI to round out the Cardinals’ scoring as a team in the win. Tommy Edman and Adam Wainwright each had a double while Paul DeJong added a base hit to cap off St. Louis’ offense as a team in the win. Wainwright got the win to improve to 12-9 on the year after tossing six shutout innings, striking out seven on the way to the win. Jack Flaherty will start game two and is 10-7 with a 2.99 ERA and 196 strikeouts this season. In his career, Flaherty is 2-3 with a 4.56 ERA and 64 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and 5-0 in Lyles’ last 5 starts while the under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games. St. Louis is 5-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 starts and 25-9 in their last 34 games overall while the under is 5-0-1 in Flaherty’s last 6 division starts. Milwaukee is 2-9 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in St. Louis.
The plus money with Milwaukee is tempting as the Brewers need wins to get back into the wild card race with not much time to go. It also doesn’t hurt that Milwaukee’s won each of Lyles’ last five starts. However, Flaherty is just on this insane run right now, and to put it in perspective, he’s allowed just three earned runs in eight starts since the beginning of August. That’s three earned runs across 54 innings of work, sitting on back-to-back eight inning shutouts as we speak as well as tossing six plus innings of shutout ball six times during that eight game stretch. I see no reason to go against Flaherty in his current form, so I’ll side with the Cardinals and to get rid of some of the juice, I’ll back St. Louis on the RL.