2019-09-19 12:05:00 EDT
The San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action at Fenway Park.
The San Francisco Giants need a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Giants have scored 20 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in eight of their last 13 games. The San Francisco Giants have lost four of their last six games when scoring three or less runs. Kevin Pillar leads the Giants with 149 hits and 81 RBI while Brandon Belt and Brandon Crawford have combined for 233 hits and 115 RBI. Madison Bumgarner gets the ball, and he is 9-8 with a 3.73 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season. Bumgarner is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.
The Boston Red Sox need a win after losing nine of their last 15 games. The Red Sox have scored 14 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last eight games. The Boston Red Sox have won four of their last six games when scoring four or more runs. Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 186 hits and 108 RBI while Xander Bogaerts and Mookie Betts have combined for 342 hits and 184 RBI. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball, and he is 17-6 with a 3.64 ERA and 189 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Giants.
The Giants are 19-40 in their last 59 during game 3 of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 Thursday games and 12-4 in Bumgarner’s last 16 starts. The Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 Thursday games, 68-26 in their last 94 during game 3 of a series and 43-12 in Rodriguez’s last 55 starts. The Giants are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston and 4-10 in the last 14 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Rodriguez’s last 4 starts overall. The over is 4-1 in Bumgarner’s last 5 starts overall.
Bumgarner has allowed 19 hits and 10 runs in his last 19 innings, and he has a 5.06 ERA and .280 allowed batting average on the road. Rodriguez has allowed 14 hits and two runs in his last 19.2 innings, and he has a 3.13 ERA and .231 allowed batting average at home. I have a hard time passing up plus money with an ace pitcher such as Bumgarner, but Rodriguez has been solid in his last three starts, and the Giants star pitcher has struggled on the road all year. While the underdog is intriguing, I’m going to side with the Red Sox in this quick turnaround.