Minnesota Twins vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/28/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
St. Louis Cardinals (2-1) at Minnesota Twins (2-1)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 28, 2020 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)
Carlos Martinez (0-0) (0.00) vs. Homer Bailey (0-0) (0.00)
The Line: Minnesota Twins -108 / St. Louis Cardinals -102 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The St. Louis Cardinals and Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB action at Target Field.
The St. Louis Cardinals look for a win after taking two of three from the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals offense is averaging five runs per game and the pitching staff has allowed no less than five runs in all three contests. Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with five hits and one RBI while Paul DeJong and Kolten Wong have combined for eight hits and four RBI. Carlos Martinez gets the ball, and he was 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA and 53 strikeouts last season. Martinez is 0-2 with a 2.31 ERA and eight strikeouts in his career against the Twins.
The Minnesota Twins will play their home opener after just taking two of three games from the Chicago White Sox. The Twins have produced double-digit run totals in two of their three games and are averaging nine runs so far this season. Nelson Cruz leads the Twins with seven hits and 10 RBI while Luis Arraez and Jorge Polanco have combined for eight hits and five RBI. Homer Bailey gets the ball, and he was 13-9 with a 4.57 ERA and 149 strikeouts last season. Bailey is 6-16 with a 5.80 ERA and 110 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.
The Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series, 2-5 in their last 7 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. The Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 Tuesday games, 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day. The over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games. The over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall. The Cardinals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
The Minnesota Twins seem to have picked up where they left off last season and now they come home to a ballpark they're even more comfortable playing. The issue I have here is that Bailey wasn't good last season and he's been even worse in his career against the Cardinals. Martinez can run hot and cold, and we didn't see him a lot last season, but he has ace quality stuff and can be highly effective when he's on. I'm siding with the Cardinals and the slightly cheaper price because of who is on the mound.