Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/30/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Chicago Cubs (4-1) at Cincinnati Reds (1-4)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 30, 2020 at 6:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Yu Darvish (0-1) (6.75) vs. Luis Castillo (0-0) (1.50)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -133 / Chicago Cubs +115 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park.
This will be the final matchup of a four-game set between these teams. Chicago won the first two installments Monday (8-7) and Tuesday (8-5). In the Wednesday game, the Reds finally managed a high-flying victory 12-7. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place.
Chicago was down 9-0 at the start of the seventh inning on Wednesday. A five-run flourish in that frame gave the Cubs hope, but they could only score two more runs the rest of the way. Nico Hoerner was the only Chicago player with more than one hit, going 2-for-4 with two runs and two RBI.
For the Thursday finale, the Cubs will send out Yu Darvish in the start. In 2019, Darvish put up a 6-8 record with a 3.98 ERA and 229 strikeouts in 178.2 innings pitched. 2020 has’t started out so well for Darvish, though; he took a loss against the Brewers on Saturday with six hits in four innings.
Over on the Reds’ side, their offense finally broke out with a seven-run fifth inning on Wednesday, and there were plenty of good performances to go around. Nick Castellanos was the RBI leader with four on a 2-for-4 day that also included two runs and a homer. Nick Senzel also had two hits with a solo homer and two RBI in the Reds’ victory.
For Thursday’s start, the Reds will turn to RHP Luis Castillo. Last season, Castillo was able to notch a 15-8 record with a 3.40 ERA and 226 strikeouts in 190.2 innings of work. In his lone outing so far this year, Castillo struck out 11 Tigers over six innings on Saturday in a no-decision.
The Cubs are 4-1 in their last five games overall and 4-1 in their last five games versus the National League Central. Chicago is 4-1 in their last five road games and 58-25 in the last 84 Thursday games.
Meanwhile, the Reds are 5-13 in their last 18 in game four of a series and 2-6 in their last eight versus the National League Central. Cincinnati is 0-4 in their last four games overall and 0-7 in their last seven home games versus a right-handed starter.
Pick: I’m leaning Reds here. Castillo looked pretty darn good in his initial outing Saturday, and he was racking up a ton of swinging strikes (24 overall). The velocity and secondary pitches were also there, so I think Castillo should have a good outing on Thursday.
Cincinnati really needs a good pitching outing here, as they’ve had a penchant for hemorrhaging runs during this young season. Castillo should be able to keep things together on the defensive side here, at least initially.