New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/30/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/30/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Red Sox (1-4) at New York Mets (3-2)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 30, 2020 at 7:07 pm (Citi Field)

Martin Perez (0-1) (7.20) vs. Steven Matz (0-0) (1.50)

The Line: New York Mets -162 / Boston Red Sox +140 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. 

This will be the final installment of a four-game set between these teams this week. The Mets took the first two games, 7-4 on Monday and 8-3 on Tuesday. In Wednesday’s game, Boston was able to get one with a razor-close 6-5 win. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

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The Red Sox didn’t really break through until the eighth inning, when they plated three runs to take a three-run lead. Boston was riding the wave of a tying solo homer from Christian Vazquez in the seventh, and had just enough juice to finish off with a win. Vazquez would finish at 2-for-4 with three RBI on the evening. 

For Thursday’s game, Boston will go with Martin Perez in the start. Perez didn’t do so well in his debut, giving up five runs (four earned) in five innings with just two strikeouts. Overall last season, Perez went 10-7 with a 5.12 ERA and 135 strikeouts in 165.1 innings pitched. He’s 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two career appearances at Citi Field. 

Over on the Mets’ side, they did a good job at peppering in the runs during Wednesday’s loss, it just wasn’t enough. The Sox scored in bunches and New York never had more than one run in an inning. One major bright spot for the Mets was Pete Alonzo, who finished 4-for-4 in the game. 

For the Thursday start, New York will send out Steven Matz. In his lone start this year Saturday versus the Braves, Matz was solid with six innings of one-run pitching, striking out seven batters. Matz is coming out of a 2019 in which he went 11-10 with a 4.21 ERA and 153 Ks in 160.1 total innings. 

The Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 Thursday games and 63-27 in their last 90 interleague games. Boston is 7-19 in their last 26 games versus a team with a winning record and 1-4 in their last five games as a road underdog. 

Meanwhile, the Mets are 6-1 in their last seven interleague home games and 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite. New York is 6-2 in their last eight games overall and 19-7 in their last 26 interleague games. 

Pick: I’m leaning Mets here. Granted it’s early, but I figured Boston would be at least a little better than they have been so far this season. Despite a few glimmers of hope here and there, the Sox haven’t been able to gain much traction at all, and their pitching has been downright awful. Perez should be able to come up with a better start here, but after that it’s up to the bullpen and we know how well that’s gone for Boston so far. 

With a solid Matz starting on the other side, this should be the Mets’ game to lose. 

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Andrew’s Pick New York Mets -162

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.