New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox - 8/16/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox - 8/16/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Red Sox (6-14) at New York Yankees (13-6)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, August 16, 2020 at 7:08 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Chris Mazza (0-0) (0.00) vs. J.A. Happ (0-1) (10.29)

The Line: New York Yankees -155 / Boston Red Sox +135 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. 

This will be the third installment of a four-game weekend set between these American League East rivals. In the series opener on Friday, the Yankees took a commanding 10-3 win. In the Saturday game two, Boston was up early but coughed up a ton of runs in the later innings as New York took a strong 11-5 win. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

The Red Sox were ahead 3-2 going into the fourth inning on Saturday, but gave up nine runs the rest of the way despite matching New York’s hit output 11-11. Xander Bogaerts and Alex Verdugo combined for two homers and three hits there, and starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi posted 5.1 innings with eight earned on nine hits. 

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For the Sunday starting pitcher role, Boston will go with right-hander Chris Mazza on recall. Mazza only has one game to his credit this year, going 2.2 innings with a clean ERA and three strikeouts. In limited career MLB action, Mazza is 1-1 with a 4.74 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 19.0 innings over 10 games.
Over on the Yankees’ side, they got a pretty decent start out of James Paxton on Saturday. He went 5.0 innings with six hits and three earned, while the bullpen carried the team the rest of the way. Gio Urshela, GAry Sanchez and Clint Frazier each had home runs in the win. 

As the Sunday starter, New York will go with JA Happ on the mound. So far in 2020, Happ is 0-1 over two starts with a 10.29 ERA and three strikeouts in 7.0 innings pitched. On his career, Happ is 121-91 with a 4.02 ERA and 1500 Ks in 1699.0 innings. 

The Red Sox are 73-30 in their last 103 during game three of a series and 35-16 in their last 51 games after losing the first two games of a series. Boston is 1-6 in their last 17 road games and 6-21 in their last 27 games as an underdog. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 4-0 in their last four overall and 25-8 in their last 33 during game three of a series. New York is 9-3 in their last 12 games following a win and 61-23 in their last 84 versus the American League East. 

Pick: Boston makes sense to me here. If there’s a most-sensible time to pick the Red Sox in this series, it’s this game. Considering Happ’s struggles so far this season, Boston should get some early opportunities. Happ has coughed up eight runs in seven innings versus the Orioles and the Phillies, and walked six batters in his last game. If he can’t get things cleaned up early in the Sunday game, it could spell big trouble for New York on the scoreboard. I still think it’s more likely that the Yankees win here, but given the line I like the potential Boston payout on a value play. 

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Andrew’s Pick Boston Red Sox +135

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Free Pick 8/16/20 MLB Pick and Prediction MLB Tips