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KIA Tigers vs. LG Twins – 8/19/20 KBO Baseball Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-08-19 05:30:00 EDT

The LG Twins and KIA Tigers meet Wednesday morning in South Korea KBO baseball action at the Jamsil Baseball Stadium.  

The LG Twins look for a win after winning 19 of their last 27 games. The LG Twins pitching staff has allowed five or more runs in 28 of their last 49 games. In their last effort, Chae Eun-sung and Kim Hyun-soo combined for four hits and four RBI while Lim Chan-gyu allowed five runs and six hits in four innings of work. The LG Twins have lost 27 of their last 60 games overall. Casey Kelly gets the ball tonight for the LG Twins.        

The KIA Tigers need a victory after losing nine of their last 16 games. The KIA Tigers pitching staff has allowed four or less runs in 28 of their last 49 games. In their last effort, Park Chan-ho and Na Joo-hwan combined for three hits and three RBI while Aaron Brooks allowed three runs and eight hits in six innings of work. The KIA Tigers have won 30 of their last 52 games overall. Lee Min-woo gets the ball tonight for the KIA Tigers.       

The LG Twins have won 10 of the last 14 meetings against the KIA Tigers. Seven of the last nine meetings between the Tigers and Twins have produced double-digit run totals.

The LG Twins should be favored simply because they’re playing the better baseball and have had a clear h2h advantage in this series throughout the season. However, this pitching matchup is rough to say the least. Casey Kelly has a 4.05 ERA and 1.29 WHIP this season through 102.1 innings, while Lee Min-woo has a 5.49 ERA and 1.39 WHIP through 78.2 innings. Lee Min-woo has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his last five starts and seems to have more and more issues with walks. We’ve seen double-digit runs in seven of the last nine meetings between the Tigers and Twins, and yesterdays game was no different.

I’ll take the over 9.5 runs in this game to avoid picking a side between two shaky pitchers, even if Kelly is the better of the two.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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