Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 8/21/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 8/21/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Phillies (9-12) at Atlanta Braves (14-11)

MLB Baseball: Friday, August 21, 2020 at 7:10 pm (Truist Park)

Aaron Nola (2-1) (2.05) vs. Max Fried (3-0) (1.24)

The Line: Atlanta Braves -133 / Philadelphia Phillies +123 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park.

The Philadelphia Phillies need a win after splitting their last eight games. The Phillies have scored 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in nine of their last 11 games. The Phillies have won seven of their last 11 games when scoring four or more runs. Didi Gregorius leads the Phillies with 23 hits and 15 RBI while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 43 hits and 37 RBI. Aaron Nola gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Nola is 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 109 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

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The Atlanta Braves need a win after losing five of their last eight games. The Braves have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. The Braves have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring four or more runs. Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with 30 hits and 16 RBI while Freddie Freeman and Marcell Ozuna have combined for 48 hits and 27 RBI. Max Fried gets the ball, and he is 3-0 with a 1.24 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games, 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 Friday games, 45-21 in their last 66 home games and 3-8 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series. The over is 6-2-1 in Phillies last 9 Friday games. The over is 6-2-1 in Braves last 9 overall. The Phillies are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.

Aaron Nola has allowed two runs and eight hits in his last 21 innings while Max Fried has allowed one run and 12 hits in his last 17.1 innings. We have two pitchers who are absolutely on fire, so while you can breakdown the numbers a little more and make a pick, I'm leaning toward the plus money. Nola as an underdog is hard to pass up and falls into my theory of always taking an ace pitcher at a favorable price.

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Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies +123

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.