Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels – Game One – 8/25/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Los Angeles Angels and the Houston Astros meet in game one of a double-header in an AL West division matchup from Minute Maid Park on Tuesday.

The Los Angeles Angels will try to bounce back after an 11-4 beatdown loss to the Astros in Monday’s opener. Justin Upton had a solo home run while David Fletcher went 3 for 5 with an RBI as well. Anthony Rendon and Albert Pujols each chipped in RBIs as well to finish off the scoring for the Angels in the losing effort as the Halos had just seven hits as a team in the loss. Patrick Sandoval took the loss, falling to 0-4 on the year after allowing five runs on seven hits over 2.2 innings of work. Jose Suarez will start game one of the double dip and is 0-1 with a 33.75 ERA this season. In his career, Suarez is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Houston.

The Houston Astros will try to build on their series-opening win over the Angels last time out. Carlos Correa led the Astros with a double and three RBIs while Kyle Tucker, Josh Reddick and Myles Straw each had two RBIs with Straw and Tucker each having a double and Tucker going 2 for 3 with a home run as well. Michael Brantley went 2 for 5 with a pair of doubles and an RBI while Martin Maldonado had two hits and Yuli Gurriel added a double as well to finish off the offense for Houston in the win. Framber Valdez got the win to improve to 3-2 on the year after giving up four runs on six hits while striking out 11 over seven innings of work. Cristian Javier will start here and is 2-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Javier’s first career start against the Angels.

Los Angeles is 15-36 in their last 51 road games and 12-30 in their last 42 division games while the over is 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog. Houston is 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and 48-17 in their last 65 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Los Angeles is 15-36 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams and the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams as well.

I’m hearing that Suarez is going to be on a pitch count, but the pitch count won’t save him if we see the same Suarez that went against the Giants and allowed five runs in just over an inning. Javier’s been solid for the Astros, especially at home where he boasts a 0.77 ERA this season. To be honest, I’m surprised the line isn’t thicker, but means more value for me. Give me the Astros on the run line here.