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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds – 8/25/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-08-25 20:10:00 EDT

The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Miller Park. 

This will be the second installment of a four-game set between these teams this week. In the opener on Monday, the Brewers jumped out to a 4-0 lead after the fourth inning and never looked back. Milwaukee ended up holding on for a 4-2 victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

The Reds finally found some offense during the sixth and seventh innings Monday, but it was too little to stop the defeat. Nick Castellanos was the only Cincinnati player with multiple hits, going 2-for-4. Starter Trevor Bauer took the loss with 6.1 innings, seven hits, four earned, two walks and eight strikeouts.  

For the Tuesday starting pitcher role, the Reds are going with Luis Castillo. In his five starts this season, Castillo has an 0-3 record with a 4.44 ERA and 36 Ks in 26.1 innings of work. Across his career, Castillo owns a 28-30 record with a 3.72 ERA and 525 Ks in 476.0 frames total. 

Over on the Brewers’ side, they got a nice start out of Brett Anderson on Monday. He lasted 6.0 innings with five hits, two earned, one walk and three strikeouts. The only damage came on two solo home runs. Justin Smoak carried the load offensively there with a three-run homer in the third. 

In the starting role Tuesday, Milwaukee is sending out Brandon Woodruff. In six starts during 2020, Woodruff is 1-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 33 Ks in 30.2 frames. Alongside a 17-8 career record with a 3.79 ERA, Woodruff has 255 strikeouts in 237.2 innings. 

The Reds are 4-1 in their last five during game two of a series and 8-20 in their last 28 games as an underdog. The under is 5-2 in Cincinnati’s last seven Tuesday games and 50-24-1 in their last 75 games as a road underdog. 

Meanwhile, the Brewers are 17-7 in their last 24 during game two of a series and 1-4 in their last five Tuesday games. The under is 5-2 in the Reds’ last seven Tuesday games and 43-21-3 in their last 67 during game two of a series. 

Pick: I’m leaning Reds here, but it’s close. The starting pitching matchup is something of an enigma here, as both guys have underperformed. Woodruff has gotten into some jams in the later parts of his last two starts, and if he can’t stay consistent he’ll be in trouble. As for Castillo, he lasted just 3.1 innings in his last start versus the Royals, but does have some good stuff this season. It’s probably going to come down to which one of these guys is more “on”—at least initially—and I think Castillo has a better chance of being that guy. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +101

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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