New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Game 1 - 8/25/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Marlins (11-11) at New York Mets (12-14)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 5:10 pm (Citi Field)
Daniel Castano (0-2) (5.91) vs. Rick Porcello (1-3) (5.76)
The Line: New York Mets -185 / Miami Marlins +165 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field.
This will be the first of a four-game set between these teams this week, and the first game in a doubleheader on Tuesday. Miami is coming out of a five-game series versus the Nationals, splitting the first four games. In the final matchup Monday, the Marlins powered out a victory with a high-flying 11-8 effort to win the series. As for the Mets, they had four games postponed over the weekend due to positive virus tests, and this will be the team’s first outing since Wednesday. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place.
Miami crushed six runs during the fourth inning Monday to go up 7-0, but they had to hold on. Washington scored eight runs in a four-inning span, and the Marlins offense was able to keep pace with 17 hits on the night. Three different Marlins players had three hits apiece (Joyce, Aguilar, Dickerson), and starter Pablo Lopez got the win on 5.0 innings, six hits and three runs (zero earned).
The Marlins will send out LHP Daniel Castano for the game one starting pitcher slot on Tuesday. The 25-year-old Castano is in his first Major League season, posting an 0-2 record over three starts, with a 5.91 ERA and seven strikeouts in 10.2 innings of work.
Over on the Mets’ side, they’ve gotten some solid offensive production from their roster in spots. Pete Alonso is hitting .247 in 93 at-bats, and has 23 hits, 15 runs, five homers and 13 RBI. Dominic Smith has also put together a good initial run with a .323 BA, 11 runs, six homers and 21 RBI. Guys like Amed Rosario (.213 BA) and Wilson Ramos (.211 BA) are still lagging behind a bit, however.
In the game one starting slot on Tuesday, the Mets are sending out RHP Rick Porcello. Over his five starts this season, Porcello is 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 25.0 innings of work. Across his career, Porcello is 150-121 with a 4.38 ERA and 1528 Ks in 2062.1 innings total.
The Marlins are 18-39 in their last 57 road games and 17-37 in their last 54 versus the National League east. Miami is 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog and 12-30 in their last 42 Tuesday games.
Meanwhile, the Mets are 4-0 in their last four games as a home favorite and 5-0 in the last five versus a team with a winning record. New York is 5-2 in their last seven Tuesday games and 8-3 in their last 11 games after an off day.
Pick: Leaning Mets here, but realistically doubleheaders (especially seven-inning doubleheaders) are difficult to pin down. Both teams would ideally like to get a handful of solid innings out of their starters here so that they're able to let loose in the bullpen in the later game if necessary. I think Porcello has a stronger chance of doing that, even though he's underperformed in the early-going this season. I'm probably staying away from both these games.