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New York Mets vs. New York Yankees – 9/3/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-09-03 16:10:00 EDT

The New York Yankees and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. 

This will be a quick one-off makeup game before these teams hit their respective weekend series. The Yankees are coming off a set against the Rays this week. New York lost the first game 5-3, then returned the favor 5-3 on Tuesday. In Wednesday’s rubber match, the Yankees fell once again 5-2 after giving up four runs in the first inning. As for the Mets, they just played a pair versus the Orioles. the Mets fell 9-5 on Tuesday, and in the Wednesday game the Mets had a nice offensive showing with a 9-4 win to even things up. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

The Yankees had issues once again with Tampa Bay in the Tuesday game, and didn’t score until the sixth inning. Clint Frazier hit a solo homer in that one, and starting pitcher Jordan Montgomery lasted just 0.2 innings with five hits, four earned, a walk, two homers and two strikeouts. 

For the Thursday starting pitcher role, the Yankees will send JA Happ out to the mound. This season over four starts, Happ is 1-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 11 strikeouts in 20.0 innings. On his career in the MLB, Happ is 122-91 with a 4.00 ERA and 1508 Ks in 1712.0 innings total. 

Over on the Mets’ side, they out-hit Baltimore 14-10 on Wednesday. The Mets broke a 2-2 tie in the fifth and didn’t look back. Michael Conforto was the big hitter there with four hits, a homer and five RBI. Starter Michael Wacha went 3.0 innings with four hits, two earned, one walk and two Ks. 

For the Thursday starting pitcher slot, the Mets are sending out Robert Gsellman. Over four games (three starts) without a decision this season, Gsellman has a 5.19 ERA and eight strikeouts in 8.2 innings. On his career in the MLB, Gsellman is 20-15 with a 4.46 ERA and 262 Ks in 316.2 innings of work. 

The Yankees are 29-12 in the last 41 after scoring two or fewer runs in their previous game and 73-35 in their last 110 as a favorite. New York is 4-9 in their last 13 overall and 2-6 in the last eight games after a loss. 

Meanwhile, the Mets are 5-1 in their last six interleague games as an underdog and 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games versus a left-handed starter. New York is 22-51 in their last 73 games as a home underdog and 2-7 in the last nine in game one of a series. 

Pick: I’m leaning Yankees here. That’s mostly because of the improved play of Happ, who tossed 7.1 scoreless, three-hit innings versus the Mets in his last outing. It’s been a solid last two starts for Happ, and he looks like he’s coming into form. 

That said, you wouldn’t be crazy to go the other way on something of a coin-flip play here. The Mets did win two of three games versus the Yankees in the series last weekend, and should have won a couple more in that set. The team was done in by late mistakes and errors. I’m siding Yankees personally, but I can see the argument for an opposing play. 

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees -115

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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