Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds - Double-Header Game One - 9/4/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports
Cincinnati Reds (16-21) at Pittsburgh Pirates (11-24)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 4, 2020 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)
Luis Castillo (0-5) (4.34) vs. Steven Brault (0-1) (4.00)
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +161 / Cincinnati Reds -175 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet in game one of a double-header in an NL Central division matchup in MLB action from PNC Park on Friday.
The Cincinnati Reds will look to build off of a 4-3 win over the St. Louis Cardinals in their last outing. Tucker Barnhart had a two run home run while Shogo Akiyama and Joey Votto each had an RBI to finish off the scoring for the Reds in the win and Eugenio Suarez added a double as well to finish off Cincinnati’s offense in victory as the Reds had just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Tyler Mahle allowed three runs on four hits while striking out three over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Raisel Iglesias got the win to improve to 2-2 on the year in relief. Luis Castillo will start here and is 0-5 with a 4.10 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, Castillo is 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 43 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to build off of a 6-2 win over the Chicago Cubs in their last game. Bryan Reynolds had a three-run home run and a double, going 2 for 4 at the dish while Cole Tucker went 2 for 5 with two RBIs and Erik Gonzalez added an RBI as well to finish off Pittsburgh’s scoring as a team in the win. Gregory Polanco went 2 for 4 at the dish while Colin Moran, Adam Frazier and John Ryan Murphy each had a base knock to finish off Pittsburgh’s offense as a team in the win. JT Brubaker got the win to improve to 1-0 after allowing one earned run on seven hits while striking out five over five innings of work. Steven Brault will start here and is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. In his career, Brault is 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 34 strikeouts against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-5 in their last 6 series-opening matchups and 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Pittsburgh is 2-5 in their last 7 games within the division and 6-13 in their last 19 home games while the over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games following a win. Cincinnati is 9-21 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams and 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Pittsburgh while the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams as well.
I’m expecting a fairly low total here because of the double-header aspect, but even so, the Reds have lost six of Castillo’s last seven starts and while that’s unusual for Cincinnati behind a guy who’s been one of the team’s best pitchers since joining the rotation four years ago, a lot of it has to do with the fact that the Reds have only given Castillo 2.1 runs of support over that span. On the other hand, the Pirates have pulled out wins here and there, but this is still a baseball team that’s not very good and I can see runs being hard to come by on both sides. Give me the under in this game.