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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies – 9/10/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-09-10 18:40:00 EDT

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action at Marlins Park.

The Philadelphia Phillies look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Phillies have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 15 games. The Phillies have won six straight games when scoring four or more runs. Didi Gregorius leads the Phillies with 38 hits and 23 RBI while J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins have combined for 69 hits and 49 RBI. Jake Arrieta gets the ball, and he is 3-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Arrieta is 8-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 66 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Miami Marlins look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Marlins have scored 22 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six straight games. The Marlins have split their last eight games when scoring four or more runs. Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with 35 hits and 24 RBI while Brian Anderson and Corey Dickerson have combined for 61 hits and 33 RBI. Sandy Alcantara gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day and 12-4 in their last 16 overall. The Marlins are 15-37 in their last 52 Thursday games, 1-4 in their last 5 home games and 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. The over is 3-1-2 in Phillies last 6 games following an off day. The over is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 overall. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Jake Arrieta has allowed 21 runs and 38 hits in his last 33.1 innings while Sandy Alcantara has allowed seven earned runs and 12 hits in 16.2 innings on the season. The Philadelphia Phillies are playing the better baseball right now, but Arrieta hasn’t been good enough to back in the favorite role this season. Alcantara is one of those young Marlins stud starting pitchers, and the fish are due for a home victory after the struggles they’ve had this season. I’ll take a stab with the Marlins and the slight plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +105

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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