2020-09-12 19:05:00 EDT
The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to bounce back from a 4-3 loss to the Royals on Friday. Josh Bell led the charge going 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Jacob Stallings added a double and an RBI as well to finish off Pittsburgh’s scoring as a team in the loss. Ke’Bryan Hayes went 2 for 4 at the dish while Colin Moran added a base knock as well to finish off Pittsburgh’s offense in defeat. Steven Brault took the loss, falling to 0-3 on the year after allowing three runs on five hits while striking out four over four innings of work. Trevor Williams will start here and is 1-6 with a 5.80 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ first career start against Kansas City.
The Kansas City Royals will look to build on their win over Pittsburgh on Friday. Maikel Franco went 2 for 3 with two RBIs while Adalberto Mondesi had a solo home run. Salvador Perez went 2 for 4 with a double while Hunter Dozier added a pair of hits as well to finish off the Royals’ offense as a team in the victory. Kris Bubic got the win, improving to 1-5 on the year after allowing one run on six hits while striking out six over five innings of work. Greg Holland closed things out for his 4th save of the year. Carlos Hernandez will start here and is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Hernandez’s first career start against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh is 18-38 in their last 56 games overall and 3-13 in their last 16 games against the AL Central while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Kansas City is 11-28 in their last 39 games against the NL Central and 3-7 in their last 10 games overall while the under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games. Pittsburgh is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams but just 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings as well.
I’m surprised this total’s still in single digits if I’m being quite honest. Williams has allowed 18 runs, 16 earned, across his last three starts spanning 16 innings of work, while Hernandez is still a rookie pitcher making his first start and while he’s been good in the majors, it’s a small sample size for a guy that had an ERA between seven and nine in rookie ball for much of last year. I think the bats come alive for this one so I’ll side with the over as my free pick for this game but my stronger play is on the side and I have that available as a premium pick that you can find here.