Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets – 9/15/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Citizens’ Bank Park on Tuesday.

The New York Mets will be out to bounce back after a 7-3 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays in their last game. Dominic Smith led the way by going 2 for 4 with two RBIs while Todd Frazier also went 2 for 4 with an RBI to finish off the Mets’ scoring as a team in the losing effort. Brandon Nimmo went 2 for 4 with a double while Michael Conforto added a pair of hits as well. Jeff McNeil, J.D. Davis, Pete Alonso and Amed Rosario each had a base hit to cap off New York’s offense as a team in the loss. David Peterson got the loss, falling to 4-2 on the year after allowing two runs on three hits while striking out a pair over five innings of work. Rick Porcello will start here and is 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. In his career, Porcello is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 42 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this one reeling after another loss to Miami, falling 6-2 on Monday. Andrew McCutchen and Scott Kingery each had an RBI to make up the scoring for the Phillies in the losing effort. Bryce Harper and Rafael Marchan each added a base hit to round out the scoring for the Phillies in defeat, with Philadelphia cranking out just four hits as a team in the losing effort. Vince Velasquez took the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing four runs on seven hits while striking out five over 3.2 innings of work. Jake Arrieta will start here and is 3-4 with a 5.54 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Arrieta is 5-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 84 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York is 2-5 in their last 7 road games and 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road favorite while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 10-2 in their last 12 home games and 2-5 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 games within the division. New York is 2-7 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

If we’re being honest, neither one of these starters are ones that I really feel comfortable backing, as Porcello gets tossed around more often than not, and Arrieta just isn’t the same Arrieta from his glory days with the Cubs. Both of these teams also need the wins if they’re going to make a serious run at a playoff spot down the stretch. I’ll side with the over here as I think the bats come alive for this one and both starters get roughed up here.