MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins – 9/21/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-09-21 19:10:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet Monday in MLB action at Truist Park.

The Miami Marlins look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Marlins have scored nine runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Marlins have won five straight games when scoring four or more runs. Brian Anderson leads the Marlins with 47 hits and 35 RBI while Jesus Aguilar and Corey Dickerson have combined for 88 hits and 46 RBI. Trevor Rogers gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Rogers’ first career game against the Braves.

The Atlanta Braves look for a win after winning seven of their last 11 games. The Braves have scored 24 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last eight games. The Braves have won seven of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Freddie Freeman leads the Braves with 66 hits and 48 RBI while Marcell Ozuna and Dansby Swanson have combined for 120 hits and 75 RBI. Huascar Ynoa gets the ball, and he is 0-0 with a 5.30 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Ynoa’s first career game against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games, 44-90 in their last 134 games as a road underdog and 7-3 in their last 10 overall. The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series, 74-32 in their last 106 games as a favorite and 35-17 in their last 52 home games. The over is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 road games. The under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 overall. The Marlins are 7-23 in the last 30 meetings in Atlanta and 17-40 in the last 57 meetings. The under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Trevor Rogers has allowed 12 earned runs and 16 hits in his last 12 innings while Huascar Ynoa has allowed seven runs and nine hits in his last 10.1 innings. Big series in terms of who wins the NL East, but both of these starting pitchers have been shaky at best. They both have ERAs over five, and Rogers especially has been brutal this month with an ERA of 9.00. So, instead of picking a side in this contest, I’m going to side with the over nine runs. Expect some fireworks in this contest. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 9

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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