Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers – 9/22/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds meet in an NL Central division matchup in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Tuesday.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to rebound after a 6-3 loss to the Reds on Monday. All of Milwaukee’s damage on the board came via home runs, as Jace Peterson had a two-run homer in the 8th and Jedd Gyorko added a solo shot in the 5th with Peterson adding a double to the cause as well. Orlando Arcia, Daniel Vogelbach and Christian Yelich all had base hits as well as the Brewers had just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Brandon Woodruff took the loss, falling to 2-5 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out nine over 5.2 innings of work. Brett Anderson will start this one and is 3-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his career, Anderson is 3-2 with a 4.88 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will try to build on their huge win on Monday in this one. Mike Moustakas led the charge, going 2 for 3 with a three-run home run and a double while Eugenio Suarez had a two-run home run and Curt Casali added a solo shot as the Reds did all of their scoring with homers as well. Nick Castellanos had a double while Shogo Akiyama and Aristides Aquino each had a base knock to finish off Cincinnati’s offense as a team in the win. Luis Castillo got the win after allowing one run on four hits while striking out nine over 6.2 innings of work. Sonny Gray will start here and is 5-3 with a 3.94 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gray is 3-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 58 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall and 2-8 in their last 10 road games while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 7-1 in their last 8 home games and 8-1 in their last 9 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two in Cincinnati.

I don’t think either side will want to be the one to make the mistake here and especially with the Reds and prize pitcher Sonny Gray as Gray is returning from a stint on the IL with a back strain and that might’ve been part of his ERA close to 25 in his last two starts. Either way, I think we see runs on the board off of both starters and potentially off of the bullpens as the game goes on, so give me the over in this game.