Cincinnati Reds (29-28) at Minnesota Twins (35-22)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 25, 2020 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)
Tyler Mahle (2-2) (3.57) vs. Jose Berrios (5-3) (3.72)
The Line: Minnesota Twins -152 / Cincinnati Reds +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Cincinnati Reds and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field.
The Reds just finished a series versus the Brewers. Cincinnati fell on Tuesday in that set, but was able to win the Monday and Wednesday games to take the series. As for the Twins, they just finished up against the Tigers. Minnesota won both those matchup, 5-4 Tuesday and 7-6 Wednesday. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place.
Cincinnati has had some trouble finding offense this season, and a few guys are doing better than others. Eugenio Suarez leads the team with 15 homers, 36 RBI and 29 runs, but is hitting just .205 on the season. As for Nick Castellanos, he’s got 14 homers and 32 RBI with a .226 batting average. Jesse Winker is a little better at a .259 BA and has 12 homers with 23 RBI.
In the Friday starting pitcher slot, the Reds will send out Tyler Mahle. In his nine games (eight starts) this season, Mahle is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 56 Ks in 45.1 innings. In his MLB career, Mahle is 13-25 with a 4.69 ERA and 309 Ks in 307.0 innings.
Over on the Twins’ side, It’s not hard to pick out the impact players in their offense. Nelson Cruz leads the team on 16 home runs, alongside 32 RBI, 33 runs and a .314 BA. Eddie Rosario holds 13 homers with 39 RBI and 31 runs. Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton each have 13 homers on the season as well.
For Friday’s starting pitcher slot, the Twins will send Jose Berrios to the mound. In 11 starts this season, Berrios is 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 61 Ks in 58.0 innings. Over his career in the MLB, Berrios is 48-37 with a 4.17 ERA and 646 Ks in 654.2 innings.
The under is 5-1 in the Reds’ last six interleague road games and 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. The under is also 5-1 in Cincinnati’s last six games following a win and 6-1 in their last seven after scoring five or more runs in their previous game.
Meanwhile, the over is 3-0-1 in the Twins’ last four games as a home favorite and the under is 6-0-1 in their last seven Friday games. The under is 4-1-1 in the Twins’ last six games after an off day and the over is 4-1 in their last five interleague games as a favorite.
Pick: I’m sticking with the Twins. I briefly thought about taking the Reds here, as Mahle is 2-1 over his past five starts with a decent 3.10 ERA. If Mahle can get off to a nice start here, Cincinnati’s chances look pretty good. That said, Berrios has a 2.05 ERA in four September starts with 22 strikeouts in 22 innings this month. If Berrios is on his game it will be pretty difficult for the Reds hitters to find anything. I think Minnesota is the safer play in this one.