Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/3/21

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/3/21 Photo by Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Brewers (17-11) at Philadelphia Phillies (13-14)

MLB Baseball: Monday, May 3, 2021 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Adrian Houser (2-2) (3.65) vs. Vince Velasquez (0-0) (6.57)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -117 / Milwaukee Brewers +107 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin, PHL 17 Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Monday night.

The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking to rebound from a 16-4 beatdown loss to the Dogers in their last matchup.Travis Shaw leads the Brewers with 5 home runs and 21 RBIs while Avisail Garcia has a .311 OBP and Omar Narvaez has a team-high 25 hits and is one of three Brewers with 4 doubles this season. Jackie Bradley Jr. has a pair of triples and 31 strikeouts while Keston Hiura has 32 strikeouts to lead the Brewers in that dubious category. Adrian Houser is expected to start on Monday and is 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. This will be Houser’s first career start against the Phillies.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to rebound from an 8-7 loss at the hands of the Mets on Sunday night. Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with a .317 batting average and a .446 OBP with Rhys Hoskins leading Philly with 8 home runs and 8 doubles. Didi Gregorius has a team-high 17 RBIs while Hosking also has a team-high 27 hits but leads the Phillies with a whopping 38 strikeouts this season. Vince Velasquez is slated to start on Monday and is 0-0 with a 6.57 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his career, Velasquez is 1-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Brewers.

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Milwaukee is 7-1 in their last 8 road games and 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog while the under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Philadelphia is 22-10 in their last 32 home games and 14-4 in their last 18 games as a home favorite while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NL Central. Milwaukee is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

I get the case that could be made both ways, but even with the big loss to the Dodgers, the Brewers have been a huge cash cow for us in the early going this season and I don’t think it stops here. Houser’s not an ace by any stretch, but he’s a better starting pitcher than Vince Velasquez who has been beat around more often than not in my time capping baseball. I think we’re getting decent value with the Brew Crew here, so give me the Brewers here.

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Chris’s Pick Milwaukee +107

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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