San Diego Padres (37-28) vs. New York Mets (31-24)
June 12, 2021 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -105 / San Diego Padres -105; Over/Under: -7.5
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The San Diego Padres and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. The Padres need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Mets look for a win after winning four of their last five games.
The San Diego Padres have scored four runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six of their last seven games. The Padres have lost five straight games when scoring three or less runs. Jake Cronenworth leads the Padres with 67 hits and 20 RBI while Eric Hosmer and Manny Machado have combined for 104 hits and 70 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he is 4-5 with a 2.33 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 1-3 with a 6.11 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
The New York Mets have scored 20 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 12 games. The Mets have won eight of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Dominic Smith leads the Mets with 45 hits and 20 RBI while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have combined for 86 hits and 44 RBI. Marcus Stroman gets the ball, and he is 5-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Stroman is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.
The Padres are 17-6 in their last 23 games as a favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 overall. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The over is 14-6-1 in Padres last 21 road games. The over is 9-2 in Mets last 11 overall. The Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
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The Padres are going to turn things around eventually, but right now they’re going through it and the offense looks rough. It’s hard to expect things to turn around with Stroman on the mound, as he’s having one of the better seasons of his career. The Mets look like a team that’s coming around. I’ll back the home team and cheap price.