Atlanta Braves (33-36) vs. New York Mets (36-29)
June 22, 2021 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -103 / Atlanta Braves -107; Over/Under: -7.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. This will be the third installment in a four-game series between these teams this week. In the opening doubleheader on Monday, the Mets won the first game and Atlanta responded in the nightcap. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Atlanta took care of the Cardinals over the weekend, winning three of those four games. In the Monday doubleheader versus the Mets, the Braves lost the opener 4-2 but came back for a 1-0 win in game two. Ian Anderson lasted 5.1 innings with no earned on three hits in the victory.
For the starter job in the Tuesday game, the Braves are sending out Charlie Morton. Across his 73.2 innings this year, Morton has 63 hits, 41 runs (33 earned), seven homers, 26 walks, 82 strikeouts and a 4.03 ERA.
Over on the Mets’ side, they got a win over the Nationals on Saturday but lost the other three games in that weekend set. In the Monday games, New York had a solid start but couldn’t get much going in the second outing. Jared Eickhoff put up 4.0 innings with three hits, three walks and no earned.
For the starter job on Tuesday, the Mets are sending out Marcus Stroman. In his 84.2 innings this year, Stroman has 70 hits, 28 runs (22 earned), nine homers allowed, 19 walks, 75 Ks and a 2.34 ERA.
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The Braves are 5-2 in their last seven road games with the total set at 9.0-10-5 and 1-4 in their last five road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The over is 7-3 in the Braves’ last 10 versus a team with a winning record and the under is 11-5 in their last 16 road games versus a team with a winning record.
Meanwhile, the Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 home games and 12-4 in their last 16 versus a right-handed starter. The over is 4-1 in the Mets’ last five in game three of a series and 7-2 in their last nine Tuesday games.
PICK: I like the Mets, but you could probably make a good case either way in this one. Stroman has given up just three earned over his last three starts in a span of 20.0 innings. He’s got 23 strikeouts in that time as well. As for Morton, he gave up four earned in 4.0 innings versus the Marlins but bounced back well in his last outing. I like both guys to pitch well here in a tight, lower-scoring Mets win.