San Diego Padres (49-35) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (38-41)
July 3, 2021 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +139 / San Diego Padres -150; Over/Under: +8
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The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. The Padres look for a win after winning 11 of their last 14 games. The Phillies look for a win after splitting their last eight games.
The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last eight games. The Padres have won five of their last six games when scoring four or more runs. Jake Cronenworth leads the Padres with 86 hits and 34 RBI while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado have combined for 142 hits and 107 RBI. Yu Darvish gets the ball, and he is 7-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Darvish is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.
The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 14 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five straight games. The Phillies have won seven of their last 10 games when scoring four or more runs. Rhys Hoskins leads the Phillies with 66 hits and 44 RBI while Alec Bohm and Jean Segura have combined for 131 hits and 56 RBI. Zach Eflin gets the ball, and he is 2-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.
The Padres are 3-11 in their last 14 road games and 11-3 in their last 14 overall. The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series and 3-7 in their last 10 overall. The over is 11-5 in Padres last 16 overall. The over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 Saturday games. The Padres are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Philadelphia.
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The Padres have been one of the more consistent teams in the league and they have a CY Young candidate on the mound in Darvish. The Phillies have underachieved all year and they’ve had little to no success with Eflin on the mound this season. You can argue this price should be a bit steeper. Give me the Padres on the road.