Atlanta Braves (43-44) vs. Miami Marlins (38-49)
July 11, 2021 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -101 / Atlanta Braves -109; Over/Under: +7
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The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from Marlins Park. This will be the final installment in a three-game series between these teams over the weekend. The Braves secured a shutout win on Friday, then in the Saturday game the Braves eked out a one-run win. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Atlanta scored four runs over the final three innings on Friday, cruising to an eventual 5-0 victory. In the Saturday game, the Braves scored twice in both the fourth and fifth innings on the way to a 5-4 victory. Max Fried lasted 5.0 innings with three earned on nine hits.
For the Sunday game, the Braves will send Ian Anderson to the mound for the start. Across his 93.2 innings this year Anderson has 75 hits, 34 earned runs, eight homers allowed, 34 walks, 94 Ks and a 3.27 ERA.
Over on the Marlins’ side, they came up near-empty on offense Friday, posting just two team hits in the loss. On Saturday, Miami out-hit the Braves 11-7 but couldn’t get the win. Trevor Rogers logged 4.0 innings with four hits and two earned.
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For Sunday’s starting pitcher job, the Marlins will send out Pablo Lopez. Over 95.0 innings of work this year, Lopez has 80 hits, 33 runs (31 earned), nine homers allowed, 23 walks, 102 Ks and a 2.94 ERA.
The Braves are 55-26 in their last 81 Sunday games and 4-1 in their last five in game three of a series. Atlanta is 5-1 in their last six with the total at 7.0-8.5 and the under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 overall.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 in their last four Sunday games. The under is 10-2 in Miami’s last 12 Sunday games and the over is 18-6-3 in their last 27 home games with a total of 9.0-10.5.
PICK: I’m going to take a stab on the Marlins here. Lopez has four earned runs over his last four appearances, going up 11 hits over 17.0 innings in that span. As for Anderson, he’s been good himself over his last four, giving up six earned on 16 hits in a span of 23.1 frames. I like a competitive pitching matchup in this one during a relatively lower-scoring game.