Cincinnati Reds (51-49) vs. Chicago Cubs (50-51)
July 28, 2021 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs +102 / Cincinnati Reds -112; Over/Under: 8.5
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet in an NL Central division matchup in MLB action from Wrigley Field on Wednesday.
The Cincinnati Reds will try to build on their 7-4 win over the Cubs from Tuesday night. Joey Votto had a pair of solo home runs while Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez each had solo blasts as well. Aristides Aquino and Jonathan India each had RBI doubles while Kyle Farmer went 3 for 4 with an RBI to finish off the scoring for Cincinnati in the win. Tyler Naquin added a double as well while Vladimir Gutierrez helped his own cause with a base hit to round out the Reds’ offense. Gutierrez got the win on the mound to improve to 5-3 after allowing two earned runs on five hits while striking out five over 6.1 innings of work. Tyler Mahle will start here and is 7-3 with a 3.92 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season.
The Chicago Cubs will look to rebound from their loss to the Reds from Tuesday night. Anthony Rizzo had a two-run home run while Kris Bryant and Patrick Wisdom each had solo blasts to make up Chicago’s scoring as a team in the loss. Rafael Ortega went 2 for 3 with a double and Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner each had a double as well while David Bote added a base hit of his own to finish off the Cubbies’ offense in the defeat. Adbert Alzolay took the loss, falling to 4-11 on the year after allowing four runs on seven hits with four strikeouts over five innings of work. Zach Davies will start here and is 6-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season.
Cincinnati is 16-6 in their last 22 games as a favorite and 10-4 in their last 14 game three matchups while the under is 38-12-3 in their last 53 Wednesday games. Chicago is 23-11 in their last 34 home games and 3-10 in their last 13 division games while the under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record.
This should be an interesting matchup after Tuesday’s thriller. With that said, I’m leaning towards the under here as Mahle’s pitched much better statistically on the road this season and while Zach Davies doesn’t normally go deep into games, I think he helps play a part in a pitcher’s duel early on so I’ll back the under here.