Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 7/30/2021

The Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. The Brewers look for a win after winning five of their last six games. The Braves look for a win after splitting their last 10 games.

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 28 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last six games. The Brewers have won eight straight games when scoring four or more runs. Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers with 84 hits and 60 RBI while Luis Urias and Omas Narvaez have combined for 148 hits and 78 RBI. Corbin Burnes gets the ball, and he is 6-4 with a 2.12 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season. Burnes is 1-0 with a 30.38 ERA and three strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

The Atlanta Braves have scored 19 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six of their last 10 games. The Braves have lost four of their last six games when scoring three or less runs. Freddie Freeman leads the Braves with 109 hits and 58 RBI while Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies have combined for 207 hits and 129 RBI. Touki Toussaint gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Toussaint is 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA and four strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 road games and 36-17 in their last 53 overall. The Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. The under is 3-1-3 in Brewers last 7 overall. The over is 18-6-2 in Braves last 26 Friday games. The Brewers are 10-21 in the last 31 meetings in Atlanta.

The Brewers are back on one of those hot streaks and they’re throwing a hot pitcher on the hill. Burnes has allowed 19 hits and three runs in his last 27.1 innings, giving him an ERA just under one full run for the month. Toussaint has showed promise as well, but he’s pitched just 13.2 innings this season. We need a larger sample size. I’ll ride the hot hand and side with the Brewers.