Chicago Cubs (56-73) vs. Chicago White Sox (74-54)
August 28, 2021 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -370 / Chicago Cubs +245; Over/Under: +8
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The Chicago Cubs and the Chicago White Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Guaranteed Rate Field. This will be the second installment in a three-game weekend set. In the Friday series opener, the White Sox pulled off a high-flying victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
The Cubs played the Rockies this week, winning Monday and splitting the Wednesday doubleheader. In the Friday game one versus the Sox, the Cubs jumped out to a 6-0 lead in the first inning but ultimately couldn’t keep up in a wild 17-13 loss. Starter Keegan Thompson put up 2.0 innings with four earned on five hits and two walks.
For the starter job in the Saturday game, the Cubs are sending out Alec Mills. Over his 81.1 innings this year Mills has 98 hits, 50 runs (43 earned), eight homers allowed, 23 walks, 62 Ks and a 4.76 ERA.
Over on the Sox’ side, they played the Blue Jays this week, winning two out of the four games for a split. On Friday, the White Sox posted eight runs in the third inning on the way to the dramatic comeback. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel had to come out after just one inning after five earned on seven hits and a walk.
Starting pitcher for the Sox on Saturday will be Lance Lynn. Over 130.2 innings this year Lynn has 97 hits, 36 runs (32 earned), 13 homers allowed, 40 walks, 145 Ks and a 2.20 ERA.
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The Cubs are 4-9 in their last 13 road games with a total of 9.0-10.5 and 14-40 in their last 54 overall. The Cubs are 7-21 in their last 28 road games and 2-8 in their last 10 Saturday games.
Meanwhile, the White Sox are 1-4 in their last five Saturday games and 58-27 in their last 85 home games. The Sox are 57-26 in their last 83 versus a team with a losing record and the over is 6-1-1 in the last eight Saturday games.
PICK: I’m sticking with the White Sox, even with the crazy thick line. Lynn has been pretty good over his last pair, with two earned on eight hits and three walks over a span of 11.0 innings. He’s put up just one earned in three of his last four appearances. As for Mills, he’s coming off a bad start versus the Royals, with seven earned on 12 hits in 4.0 innings. I think both guys will pitch fairly well here in an eventual Sox victory. That said, you wouldn’t be crazy for trying the Cubs on a value pick given the odds, either.