Cincinnati Reds (71-59) vs. Miami Marlins (53-76)
August 29, 2021 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +140 / Cincinnati Reds -185; Over/Under: -7.5
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The Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from Marlins Park. This will be the final installment in a three-game weekend series. The Reds took a shutout win in the Friday opener, then on Saturday the Marlins evened it up with a five-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Cincinnati bagged four runs in the fourth inning in the Friday opener, cruising to a 6-0 victory. In the Saturday game, the Reds gave up five runs in the first inning and couldn’t dig out of the hole in a 6-1 loss. Starter Vladimir Gutierrez lasted 3.0 innings with seven hits and five earned.
For the starter job in the Sunday game, the Reds will turn to Tyler Mahle. Over his 141.1 innings this year Mahle has 122 hits, 60 runs (58 earned), 20 homers allowed, 47 walks, 168 Ks and a 3.69 ERA.
Over on the Marlins’ side, they notched six hits and two errors in the Friday shutout defeat. In the Saturday game two, Miami posted 12 team hits in the victory. Sandy Alcantara started the game and posted 7.0 frames with one earned, one walk, six hits and 12 Ks.
Starter for the Sunday finale will be Miami’s Jesus Luzardo. This season Luzardo is 4-7 with a 7.91 ERA, 60 strikeouts and 60.1 innings in 18 games (11 starts).
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The Reds are 4-0 in their last four Sunday games and 20-7 in their last 27 in game three of a series. The under is 8-3 in Cincinnati’s last 11 Sunday games and 44-20-3 in their last 67 versus the NL East.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 Sunday games and the under is 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games. Miami is 2-5 in the last seven with a total of 7.0-8.5 and the over is 18-7-3 in their last 28 at home with a total of 9.0-10.5.
PICK: I’m going to stick with the Reds. Luzardo has had some difficulties over his last three starts, posting a total of 14 earned run on 20 hits in 12.2 innings of work. As for Mahle, he had an up-and-down game versus the Cubs on August 18 (five earned; 5.0 innings) but posted a nice effort his last time up with 5.2 innings and one earned versus the Brewers. I like Mahle to notch a quality start here in a Cincinnati victory.