Detroit Tigers (64-73) vs. Cincinnati Reds (73-64)
September 5, 2021 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -233 / Detroit Tigers +170; Over/Under: -8.5
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The Detroit Tigers and Cincinnati Reds meet Sunday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. The Tigers need a win after losing six of their last eight games. The Reds need a win after losing five of their last seven games.
The Detroit Tigers have scored 25 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four straight games. The Tigers have won five of their last seven games when scoring four or more runs. Jonathan Schoop leads the Tigers with 150 hits and 72 RBI while Jeimer Candelario and Robbie Grossman have combined for 245 hits and 114 RBI. Casey Mize gets the ball, and he is 7-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Mize’s first career game against the Reds.
The Cincinnati Reds have scored 24 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four straight games. The Reds have won seven of their last 10 games when scoring four or more runs. Nick Castellanos leads the Reds with 141 hits and 78 RBI while Jesse Winker and Jonathan India have combined for 248 hits and 132 RBI. Luis Castillo gets the ball, and he is 7-14 with a 4.30 ERA and 159 strikeouts this season. Castillo is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Tigers.
The Tigers are 15-37 in their last 52 Sunday games and 7-2 in their last 9 road games. The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games and 11-5 in their last 16 home games. The over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall. The under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 Sunday games.
Mize and Castillo are both coming off shaky performances in the month of August, and you could argue Mize has been the better pitcher this season overall. With that said, Castillo has the better stuff and the Reds have a lot more to play for at this point in the season. The Reds need to take advantage of these games if they’re going to make the playoffs. Give me the Reds and the RL for max betting value.