Cincinnati Reds (75-67) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (71-69)
September 12, 2021 2:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals +105 / Cincinnati Reds -141; Over/Under: -8.5
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The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. This will be the final installment in a three-game weekend series. The Reds managed a two-run win on Friday, then in the Saturday game two the Cards evened it up with a two-run victory of their own. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Cincinnati posted two runs in the ninth inning Friday on the way to a 4-2 victory. In the Saturday game two, the Reds had a lead for a few innings but couldn’t hold on in a 6-4 defeat. Starter Luis Castillo lasted 7.0 frames with four earned on eight hits and a walk.
For the starter job in the Sunday game, the Reds will send out Sonny Gray. Over his 113.2 innings this year Gray has 98 hits, 52 runs (49 earned), 15 homers allowed, 41 walks, 135 Ks and a 3.88 ERA.
Over on the Cardinals’ side, they were able to fight back from a 2-0 deficit on Friday but couldn’t take the lead. In the Saturday game St. Louis had 11 hits in the comeback victory. Miles Mikolas put up 5.0 innings with four earned on six hits and a walk.
Starting pitcher for the Cards on Sunday will be JA Happ. In his 132.2 innings this year Happ has 103 Ks with a 6.24 ERA and an 8-8 record in 26 starts.
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The Reds are 18-8 in their last 26 in game three of a series and 3-7 in their last 10 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s last six Sunday games and 4-1 in the last five in game three of a series.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 6-2 in their last eight in game three of a series and 4-10 in their last 14 versus a right-handed starter. The over is 4-0 in St. Louis’ last four in game three of a series and the under is 7-1-2 in their last 10 at home.
PICK: I’m going to stick with the Reds. Happ has had some difficulties over his last two starts, totaling 11 earned runs on 15 hits over 6.0 innings for an 0-2 mark. As for Gray, he hasn’t given up more than two earned in any of his last four outings, and he’s hit 5.0 frames or more in each one. I like Gray to keep it going in this finale to put Cincinnati in a winning position.