Miami Marlins (60-82) vs. Atlanta Braves (75-66)
September 12, 2021 1:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -276 / Miami Marlins +225; Over/Under: -8.5
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The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Truist Park on Sunday afternoon.
The Miami Marlins will look to build on their 6-4 win over the Braves from Saturday. Bryan De La Cruz had three hits with a solo home run and two RBIs total while Eddy Alvarez and Jesus Sanchez each had a solo blast as well. Miguel Rojas added a double with an RBI and Lewis Brinson had an RBI as well to cap off the scoring for the Marlins in the win. Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a pair of hits with a double while Isan Diaz and Jorge Alfaro each had a base knock as well to round out the offense for the Fish in the win. Elieser Hernandez gave up three runs on seven hits with four strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Anthony Bass got the win in relief to improve to 3-7 while Dylan Floro closed the 9th for his 10th save. Edward Cabrera will start here and is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season.
The Atlanta Braves will try to rebound from their loss to Miami on Saturday. Freddie Freeman led the way with two RBIs while Jorge Soler had a double with an RBI and Austin Riley chipped in an RBI as well to finish off the scoring for the Braves in the loss. Travis d’Arnaud had a pair of hits while Adam Duvall, Charlie Morton and Ehire Adrianza each had a double while Ozzie Albies chipped in a base hit as well to cap off Atlanta’s offense as a team in the defeat. Morton allowed three runs on six hits while striking out seven over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Richard Rodriguez took the loss in relief to fall to 4-4 on the year. Max Fried will start here and is 11-7 with a 3.42 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season.
Miami is 4-9 in their last 13 Sunday games and 13-40 in their last 53 games as a road underdog while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games. Atlanta is 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games and 4-1 in their last 5 games overall while the over is 5-1-3 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
I get the case that could be made both ways here, but I’m going to lean Atlanta’s way. The Braves simply have more to play for and while Fried has had his ups and downs, he’s the more reliable starter by a mile . Edward Cabrera will get better over time, but the Braves are just playing the better ball and I think Fried puts up a quality start and gets us a win -1.5 here.