Philadelphia Phillies (74-72) vs. New York Mets (72-75)
September 18, 2021 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -111 / Philadelphia Phillies -120; Over/Under: -7.5
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. This will be the second installment in a three-game weekend series. In the Friday opener, Philly eked out a one-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
The Phillies played a series versus the Cubs this week, losing Tuesday but then snagging wins 6-5 and 17-8 in the other pair. In the Friday opener versus the Mets, Philly posted seven hits in a 4-3 win. Starter Zack Wheeler went 5.0 innings with one earned on four hits.
Starting pitcher for the Phillies on Saturday will be Aaron Nola. Over his 163.0 innings this year Nola has 148 hits, 85 runs (83 earned), 24 homers allowed, 35 walks, 202 Ks and a 4.58 ERA.
Over on the Mets’ side, they didn’t have any luck versus St. Louis this week and got swept in a three-game series. On Friday, New York had eight team hits but could only come up with the three runs. Taijuan Walker put up 5.0 innings with two earned on three hits.
Starting pitcher duties for the Saturday game two will go to the Mets’ Carlos Carrasco. This year over his 38.2 innings Carrasco has a 1-2 record with a 5.59 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 38.2 innings.
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The Phillies are 20-8 in their last 28 versus the NL East and 2-5 in their last seven versus a right-handed starter. The under is also 7-0 in Philly’s last seven Saturday games.
Meanwhile, the Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 in game two of a series and 2-5 in their last seven Saturday games. New York is also 6-21 in their last 27 versus a team with a winning record.
PICK: I’m going to try New York. This one’s a little tricky, though. Carrasco has been solid over his last pair, giving up three earned on 10 hits and five walks in 10.0 innings of work. As for Nola, he’s got six earned on 11 hits in his last two starts across 10.1 frames. I like both guys to flirt with quality starts here; should be a fun pitching battle. I think the Mets have a solid shot at a win.