New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 9/19/21

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action at Citi Field. The Phillies look to build on their four-game winning streak. The Mets need a win here to snap a five-game losing streak.

The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 26 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last seven games. The Phillies have won 13 of their last 14 games when scoring four or more runs. Jean Segura leads the Phillies with 139 hits and 53 RBI while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 251 hits and 141 RBI. Kyle Gibson gets the ball, and he is 10-7 with a 3.49 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. Gibson is 1-2 with a 5.12 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

The New York Mets have scored 10 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last eight games. The Mets have won nine of their last 12 games when scoring four or more runs. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 135 hits and 87 RBI while Jonathan Villar and Dominic Smith have combined for 211 its and 96 RBI. Rich Hill gets the ball, and he is 6-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. Hill is 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and 8-2 in their last 10 Sunday games. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games and 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. The over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 Sunday games. The over is 5-2 in Mets last 7 overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

The Mets have a clear pitching edge in this contest, but I’m not sure it matters much with the slump they’re in. The Phillies have caught fire over the last couple of weeks and they’re now eyeing the division title. Gibson isn’t off to the best start this month and has had issues on the road, but the Phillies are playing head and shoulders the better baseball. Give me the Phillies.