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Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 9/25/2021

New York Mets (73-80) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (92-62)
September 25, 2021 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -196 / New York Mets +178; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in MLB action from American Family Field on Saturday night.

The New York Mets will be out to bounce back from a 5-1 loss at the hands of the Brew Crew on Friday night. Pete Alonso leads the Mets across the board with team-highs of 35 home runs, 89 RBIs and 137 hits as well as 24 doubles with a .258 batting average and a .338 OBP. Alonso also has a team-high 3 triples but after Alonso, no other Met has more than 18 home runs and 55 RBIs this season. Rich Hill is expected to start here and is 6-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers will be out to build on their solid win over the Mets from Friday’s action. Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers with a .267 batting average, 119 hits, 29 home runs and 85 RBIs while Luis Urias has a .342 OBP, 21 home runs and 71 RBIs. Jackie Bradley JR. has a team-high 3 triples but also leads Milwaukee with 125 strikeouts at the plate this season. Corbin Burnes is tabbed to make the start on Saturday and is 10-4 with a 2.34 ERA and 221 strikeouts this season.

New York is 16-36 in their last 52 games as an underdog and 16-40 in their last 56 road games against a left-handed starter while the over is 2-0-3 in their last 5 Saturday games. Milwaukee is 10-3 in their last 13 game two matchups and 37-14 in their last 51 Saturday games while the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

I get the case that could be made either way here, but I’m looking towards the under. The Milwaukee Brewers tend to be a lighter hitting team at home, while Corbin Burnes will offset that as he’s been a strikeout machine this season. Rich Hill usually limits damage even though he only goes five innings, and I’m not expecting a high-scoring affair here. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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