Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 9/30/2021

Cleveland Indians (77-80) vs. Kansas City Royals (72-85)
September 30, 2021 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals +100 / Cleveland Indians -132; Over/Under: -7.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Indians and the Kansas City Royals meet Thursday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. After a split in the first pair, in the Wednesday game three Kansas City took a five-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place. 

The Indians managed a solid 8-3 victory in the Monday opener of this set, then fell 6-4 in game two. On Wednesday Cleveland fell behind 5-1 after two innings and ultimately lost 10-5. Zach Plesac lasted 6.0 innings with five earned on seven hits and three walks.

For the starter job in the Thursday game the Indians will send out Shane Bieber. Over his 93.2 innings this year Bieber has 80 hits, 35 runs (33 earned), 11 homers allowed, 33 walks, 133 Ks and a 3.17 ERA. 

Over on the Royals’ side, they put up two runs in the eighth inning Tuesday to take the lead for good during the victory. On Wednesday KC posted five runs in the final two frames on the way to the win. Starter Daniel Lynch put up 3.0 frames with four earned on seven hits and two walks.

For Thursday’s start, the Royals will send out Angel Zerpa. This will be Zerpa’s Major-League debut. He went 4-4 with a 4.58 ERA in Double- and Triple-A this year. 

The Indians are 10-3 in their last 13 in game four of a series and 74-36 in their last 110 Thursday games. The under is 5-0 in Cleveland’s last five in game four of a series as well. 

Meanwhile, the Royals are 2-7 in their last nine in game four of a series and 3-7 in their last 10 with a total of 9-10.5. The under is also 3-0-1 in KC’s last four in game four of a series. 

PICK: I’m going to stick with the Indians here. Bieber had been out of commission for quite a while, last starting on June 13 (with five earned in 5.2 innings). Bieber was solid in his return against the White Sox back on September 24 however, with 3.0 clean no-hit, no-walk innings and three Ks. Although Bieber probably won’t be out there for more than a handful of frames I think Cleveland is still in a good position for a W in this one. 

Andrew's Free Pick:
Cleveland Indians -132


Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.
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