Los Angeles Dodgers (112-61) vs. Atlanta Braves (94-75)
October 23, 2021 5:08 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves +160 / Los Angeles Dodgers -170; Over/Under: +8
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in Game 6 of the NLCS in MLB action at Truist Park. The Dodgers need a win here to force a deciding game 7 on Sunday. The Braves can advance to their first World Series since 1999 with a victory here.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 19 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Dodgers have won 19 of their last 21 games when scoring four or more runs. Mookie Betts leads the Dodgers with 15 hits and five RBI while Chris Taylor and Trea Turner have combined for 23 hits and 14 RBI. Max Scherzer gets the ball, and he was 15-4 with a 2.46 ERA and 236 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 7-6 with a 3.22 ERA and 160 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Atlanta Braves have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in four of their last six games. The Braves have won three of their last four games when scoring four or more runs. Eddie Rosario leads the Braves with 16 hits and eight RBI while Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies have combined for 20 hits and eight RBI. Ian Anderson gets the ball, and he was 9-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Dodgers are 46-16 in their last 62 games as a favorite and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games and 18-5 in their last 23 overall. The over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall. The Dodgers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta and 40-18 in the last 58 meetings.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are going to be favored obviously with Scherzer on the mound, but this is a lot of plus money to turn down with the Braves at home. The Braves also had some success against Scherzer in game 2, getting four hits and two runs off him in 4.1 innings. The Dodgers have also lost Scherzer’s last two starts. Anderson hasn’t gone deep in his first two postseason games, but he’s been respectable overall, and he’s at his best at home, where he had a 3.52 ERA and .207 allowed batting average. The value is on the Braves here.