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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals – June 27, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals - June 27, 2022
2022-06-27 19:45:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins (32-38) face the St. Louis Cardinals (41-33) at Busch Stadium on Monday at 7:45pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Pablo Lopez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Adam Wainwright is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals. The Cardinals are favored to win at -141, while the Marlins are at +120. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Marlins (-169) have a 35-35 Run Line record this season, while the Cardinals (+145) hold a record of 41-33.
  • The Marlins have a 36-32-2 O/U record this season (meaning 36 games have gone over the total runs line, 32 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Cardinals have a 38-33-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Cardinals are averaging 4.7 (6th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Cardinals are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .245 (ranking 12th in the Major Leagues), while the Cardinals are batting .253 (5th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Cardinals have hit 76 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 78 (13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 297 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cardinals have recorded 334 RBIs to rank T4th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cardinals have an earned run average of 3.82 this season (12th in the Majors), while the Marlins have an ERA of 3.91 (16th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 612 this season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording 537.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Cardinals this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins’ opponents are at .238 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 8-22-40 5-10-19 3-12-21 6-14-31 2-8-9 0-0-0 0-3-7
  • Cardinals 22-17-35 14-4-18 8-13-17 14-10-26 8-7-9 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 22-31-17 12-14-8 10-17-9 16-24-11 6-7-6 0-0-0 1-5-4
  • Cardinals 30-29-15 18-15-3 12-14-12 20-18-12 10-11-3 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 36-34 in Marlins games this season. The Cardinals have a 32-42 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 5-0 victory over the Cardinals at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on April 21. Jesus Sanchez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Cardinals’ eight-game winning streak against the Marlins.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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